What are the most likely theories for what is inside Area 51. No crazy conspiracy theories, actual grounded theories that are probable or likely.

  • Daemon Silverstein@thelemmy.club
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    2 days ago

    Nowadays, certainly nothing, after it became a famous place. They can’t risk people eventually rushing in, like bulls running amuck, outnumbering guards. So, nowadays, it’s either a totally empty hangar, or just a logistic storage for common military things such as fuel for tanks/jets, military food (MRE), nothing which would pose risks to their “National Security” if seen.

    Which leads us to the follow-up question: what used to be inside? Probably military research, such as new (human) technologies (let’s remember how many technologies available for us nowadays were once secret and classified military technologies: Arpanet, GPS, etc; nothing remotely otherworldly, just not made for us “peasants” yet it’s paid by all US taxpayers).

  • blueamigafan@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    Most likely a testing facility for prototype aircraft, although probably not anymore because of how much attention it gets now

  • Boddhisatva@lemmy.world
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    4 days ago

    Some barely secret aircraft, a whole lot of accounting and clerical staff, and a tremendous amount of security to make it seem like there are major secrets being protected there. That is what I would put at the world’s most well known secret base, anyway.

    • Dr. Bob@lemmy.ca
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      4 days ago

      This is the answer I got over drinks with a senior military leader. It’s too well known to hold anything interesting. He contrasted it with Mount Weather and the Cheyenne Complex. Those are still the sites for continuity of government because there is too much infrastructure to move. The sites just got additional hardening as the locations became known.

      • Boddhisatva@lemmy.world
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        4 days ago

        It’s a great way to keep the UFO nuts contained. Let them scurry around the surrounding area as much as they want. Occasionally arrest one who gets too insistent and the others will take that as confirmation that something big is hidden there.

    • RegalPotoo@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      Plus a bunch of old equipment and documents that are definitely secret and too valuable to just destroy, but no-one is entirely clear exactly how secret and valuable so it’s safer to leave it guarded in place than to try and move it

      • rc__buggy@sh.itjust.works
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        4 days ago

        That’s what I think is there now. A big pile of stuff that isn’t really useful anymore but they don’t want anyone else to see. Indiana Jones warehouse style.

        • RegalPotoo@lemmy.world
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          4 days ago

          I’m imagining a somewhat boring looking office/lab with a bunch of locked rooms.

          “What’s in there?”

          “Oh, it was Dr Simpsons lab in the 90s”

          “Well what were they working on?”

          “Don’t know, its classified”

          “Well can we get rid of it?”

          “I don’t know, it’s classified”

          “Well who does know?”

          “I don’t know, its classified

            • RegalPotoo@lemmy.world
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              4 days ago

              “Well is there anything dangerous in there?”

              “That’s classified, also, take a good look round at the building you are in and think about that question some more”

              “Shit.”

    • T00l_shed@lemmy.world
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      4 days ago

      Or. Do a double bluff. Since it’s so well known, put your actual top secret stuff there, since no one will really look at it, because it’s so well known.

  • dual_sport_dork 🐧🗡️@lemmy.world
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    4 days ago

    It’s likely that at least one arm of Lockheed Martin’s “skunkworks” operates there. Area 51 was significantly more important during the cold war, when we were developing aircraft we wanted to keep secret from the Soviets. Nowadays, less so.

    Military aircraft are tested there. We know for sure the U-2 spy plane was tested there, and the base was also involved with the development and testing of the plane that eventually became the SR-71 Blackbird. It’s likely the F117 (“stealth fighter”) and B2 (“stealth bomber”) were also tested there, and possibly partially developed there.

    Unless you’re a military aviation nut, it’s actually not very exciting.

    • FordBeeblebrox@lemmy.world
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      3 days ago

      Groom Lake is cool as an aviation nut but Edwards is just as cool with the extra extra long runway for incoming spacecraft, and they have a test flight museum just off base. Vandenberg is also a space launch site and you don’t have to go to the middle of Nevada

  • stoy@lemmy.zip
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    3 days ago

    Development and prototypes for new millitary aircraft and missiles.

    Aliens? Lol, no.

    Alien aircarft? Lol, no

  • Death_Equity@lemmy.world
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    4 days ago

    There is definitely some test craft and systems that are next gen or early future gen. They need a controllable dead zone for EM to test certain systems before they can test it in real world EM polluted areas.

    They probably have labs for development, but most of that stuff is handled by the MIC unless it is so secret that they can’t allow anything to leave the base except for personnel that could be highly vetted and controlled.

    Just for testing one aircraft, they need a huge amount of infrastructure and personnel which necessitates a fairly large base. Some of their stuff they would need to tear down to base components to inspect parts after every flight. They need facilities on-site to repair or replace components that probably only exist on that aircraft.

    So most of the base may exist and operate just to test one new aircraft that is 10 years away from production or to service something like the X-37 program.