The risks of a recession in the U.S. and global economies have soared to 60% from 40% with the announcement this week of the Trump administration’s sweeping new tariff regime, according to Wall Street banking giant JPMorgan.

Archived version: https://archive.is/newest/https://www.tradingview.com/news/DJN_DN20250403012985:0-jpmorgan-raises-risk-of-u-s-global-recession-to-60/


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  • LeninOnAPrayer@lemm.ee
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    1 hour ago

    I mean when will we declare we’re in a recession? Do I need to be actively being fucked in the ass by a capitalist while I sell him my -42% 401k profile in return for a loaf of bread? Because I think we’re basically there.

  • Viking_Hippie@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    14 hours ago

    Do they mean the risk of one happening soon or of one happening at all?

    Because if it’s the latter, anyone who knows just a little about how the US macroeconomy works knows that it’s 100%. It’s simply a part of the vicious cycle of under-regulated capitalism.

    That being said, there’s little to no doubt that the kakistocracy is going to make the next one arrive sooner and be MUCH worse than they usually are.

    • jacksilver@lemmy.world
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      14 hours ago

      I believe all these predictions are for the 2025 calendar year. While the article doesn’t explicitly state, they do mention forecasts for 2025, so I think it’s safe to say they think the odds of the US will be in a recession by the end of the year is at 60%.