• cynar@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      For random bias yes. Unfortunately, that age group are notoriously difficult to poll accurately. Without knowing how the polling was done, detecting systematic bias is difficult.

      E.g. street polling on a Sunday morning, near a church, or mosque will get vastly different results to the same poll near the high street, on a Friday night.

      Also relevant. https://xkcd.com/882/

      Don’t get me wrong, it’s a worrying poll. Buta lot of studies like this disappear back into the noise, when studied by multiple groups.

      • Bad_Engineering@fedia.io
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        22 hours ago

        The study says they used online polling but didn’t elaborate further so who’s to say what biases there may or may not be. But generally ipsos does a pretty good job with their polling.

        I do agree that most of these polls tend to end up being nothing burgers, but there has been a recent trend of younger males gravitating towords the right of the political spectrum. I mainly commented to point out that a sample size of 1000 is generally recognized to be large enough for accuracy.